Admiral's Stock Advice - Subject: Market Timing

Choppy Markets With a Downward Bias

[Man With Data]


In these choppy markets, you protect yourself by taking profits where you think the stock is overpriced, and taking losses where you aren't very hopeful about near-term prospects.

I think we'll have to be writing more frequently, as a lot of you folks may be losing your shirts without our wise guidance in these treacherous markets.


The market is staying on its downward bias, as shown by an update of our Sept. 8 article:


Indices Wed., September 8 Wed., September 22
Dow Industrials 11036 10524
Nasdaq 2808 2858
S&P 500 1344 1310
Dow Utilities 312 300
Russell 2000 435 427
Amex 792 782
Dow Transports 3081 2926


Clearly, aside from the Hi-Tech's in the Nasdaq, a lot of gas was shared by the other indices. It looks like Alan Greenspan did a good job of reining back the increase in stock market wealth. I guess since he owns no stock, this is good for America. Well, since his wife owns stock, she may think of a way to retaliate. Give 'em hell, Mrs. Greenspan.

Readers will recall that on September 8, we were beating the drums for the Biotech/Genomic stocks. Let's see what they did:


Biotech/Genomic Stocks Wed., September 8 Wed., September 22
Aurora Biosciences 10 3/16 13 7/8
Affymetrix 96 15/16 106 15/16
Amgen 84 9/16 83 7/8
Biogen 85 7/8 85 3/8
Human Genome Sci. 86 5/16 80.00
Isis 11 11/16 12 1/16
Ligand 9 1/4 7 7/8
Millennium 75 3/16 64 9/16
Protein Design Labs 30 5/16 31 3/16

All these stocks had a pretty good run from Aug. 27, and were probably entitled to a breather. Even with that, 4 of the 9 are up. By the way, I own Affymetrix, Isis, and Ligand, and have owned Millennium and Protein Design Labs several times. I would like to buy the last two again, if the price gets more reasonable. Our next article will feature another stock in this group, that I believe has GREAT promise. I better think so, as I'm loaded in it.

In the meantime, I probably don't have to tell you again to be careful, as you're probably wounded already. In these choppy markets, you protect yourself by taking profits where you think the stock is overpriced, and taking losses where you aren't very hopeful about near-term prospects. If that seems too drastic, remember that in that case we always recommend selling one-half, and keeping one-half. Restrict any buying to stocks that you believe have something very special going for them, and the timing of any buy looks right. And don't overpay. As with real estate, a lot of the profit in stocks is in buying right. If you're really concerned, buy nothing and sit tight, accumulating cash. Because we're at that time again where CASH IS KING! Stay tuned.

The Market Pro - September 22, 1999


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